Independent Evaluation Series

The Kibaki Administration, 2002–2013

The Kenya Presidencies, Volume III

A health worker supports a mother at a maternity unit in Lodwar, Turkana County

Abstract

The highest arithmetic result in the series, and the first volume in which the Safeguarding Veto changes the published verdict rather than restating a band the arithmetic had already reached. That the cap is decisive here is itself recorded as a finding.

52.80 Strategic Integrity Score on the arithmetic Capped to Low–Moderate
77.80 Evidence Confidence Index Substantial
40.00 Protection and integrity pillar Safeguarding Veto fired, and decisive

Summary of the report

The material record is the strongest in the series: life expectancy recovered the entire loss of the preceding twenty-four years, under-five mortality fell 40.8 per cent, primary enrolment rose 22.2 points after fee abolition, and HIV prevalence fell from 7.8 to 5.2 per cent.

The 2010 Constitution, approved by roughly 67 per cent of voters, is assessed as the single largest positive institutional change in the fifty years the series covers to that point.