Independent Evaluation Series

The Moi Administration, 1978–2002

The Kenya Presidencies, Volume II

The hands of an older man resting on a walking stick

Abstract

The lowest composite in the series, resting on the highest evidence rating in it. The weak result rests on the stronger record.

31.60 Strategic Integrity Score Reportable band: Low–Moderate
79.30 Evidence Confidence Index Substantial, the highest in the series
28.00 Protection and integrity pillar Safeguarding Veto fired

Summary of the report

The period was examined by a judicial commission into Goldenberg, a judicial commission into the ethnic clashes, a parliamentary select committee, a public land commission, a truth commission, and a household survey programme with no equivalent under the previous administration.

Real GDP per capita compounded at minus 0.11 per cent a year across 1979 to 2002. Child survival improved while adult life expectancy fell. Against that, the administration legislated a two-term limit in 1992, was bound by it in 2002, lost decisively and handed power to the opposition, the first such transfer in the country's history.